global recession

Ray Dalio, who predicted the 2008 crisis, warns that mishandled economic policies, particularly Trump's tariffs, could push the U.S. into a recession. He likens the tariffs' disruptive implementation to destabilizing the production system. Despite a tariff pause, Goldman Sachs estimates a significant chance of a recession within the next year, highlighting growing economic uncertainty.

From the popular hemline theory to the lipstick index, fashion has always had some quiet alarms to indicate signs of an impending recession

S&P Global Ratings has revised down the US GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 1.5% and 2026 to 1.7%, citing uncertainties from reciprocal tariffs announced by the US. While anticipating a slowdown, S&P doesn't foresee a US recession, but acknowledges downside risks due to potential tariff impacts on the real economy and global trade.

S&P Global Ratings has lowered India's GDP growth forecasts for 2025-26 and 2026-27, citing trade-related uncertainties stemming from potential US tariff policies. This revision aligns with similar downward adjustments by the Reserve Bank of India.

Saturday Night Live (SNL) lampooned Donald Trump's initial 100 days in office, exaggerating his executive orders through comedy. James Austin Johnson, impersonating Trump, showcased outlandish orders, including pardoning J.K. Rowling and renaming 'recession' to 'recess'. The skit mocked Trump's governance style, contrasting it unfavorably with Franklin D. Roosevelt's impactful early presidency.

The uncertainty created by Trump is guaranteed to slow world growth. India cannot escape the consequences even though it will be less hard hit than others.

China is open to trade talks with the US if high tariffs are removed, while also prepared to retaliate if necessary. US tariffs on Chinese goods are causing price increases for consumers and impacting businesses like Apple, which anticipates a $900 million hit. The Port of Los Angeles is experiencing a significant drop in cargo volume, but global stock markets rose on hopes of trade negotiations.

The US travel sector is bracing for a significant slowdown in 2025, potentially costing the economy tens of billions of dollars. Declining international tourism, fueled by Donald Trump's tariff policies and eroding global sentiment, is a major factor. Softening domestic spending, driven by recession fears and pressured household budgets, further exacerbates the industry's challenges, impacting airlines, hotels, and overall GDP.

Declining travel demand, fueled by trade policy uncertainties and anti-American sentiment, threatens significant economic losses for the US. Major travel companies report stalled demand and withdrew projections, while analysts estimate reduced foreign travel expenditure could lower US GDP by billions. Americans are also showing caution in discretionary spending, exacerbating concerns about a potential recession.

US President Donald Trump's recent announcement of a 100% tariff on foreign-made films has sparked concerns about a potential trade war. Citing the decline of Hollywood and alleged propaganda, Trump aims to revitalize American movie production. However, this move adds to existing trade tensions, particularly with China, impacting global supply chains.

Robert Kiyosaki warns of a potential financial collapse exceeding the 2008 crisis, fueled by unemployment fears. He advises preparation through real asset acquisition like gold, silver, and Bitcoin, viewing downturns as opportunities. Citing Warren Buffett's massive cash holdings, Kiyosaki emphasizes financial agility to navigate the coming economic storm and capitalize on discounted assets.

Asian markets showed slightly good performance despite ongoing concerns about US trade policies under President Trump. While Tokyo's Nikkei saw a slight increase, car companies faced declines after tariff adjustments. In the US, major stock indexes continued their upward trend, driven by strong earnings reports from companies like Honeywell and Sherwin-Williams, despite UPS announcing job cuts amid economic uncertainty.

IMF head Kristalina Georgieva says a global recession is unlikely. This is despite trade tensions sparked by US tariffs. However, these trade disruptions will cost significantly. The IMF expects markdowns to global growth. Georgieva urges countries to adjust fiscal policy. She also wants central bank independence. China should boost domestic consumption. The US must address surging public debt.

US stocks opened mixed as the Dow edged up while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 dipped. Global markets found stability amid corporate earnings and economic updates, with European markets showing gains. Reports that President Trump may revise auto tariffs offered some relief from recent trade war volatility, influencing market sentiment across Asia.

Prime Minister Lawrence Wong led the People's Action Party (PAP) to a decisive victory in Singapore's General Election, securing 87 of 97 parliamentary seats. The election, Wong's first test as prime minister, occurred amidst economic uncertainties caused by US trade tariffs. Voters cast ballots for 92 contested seats, determining Singapore's political direction as the PAP continues its long-standing governance.

Asian stock markets experienced gains following Wall Street's rebound, despite ongoing concerns about the economic impact of US tariffs. Japan's Nikkei 225 rose after the Bank of Japan held interest rates steady, while investors await the US jobs report for further economic insights.

Amid escalating trade tensions, US President Trump criticized China for allegedly cancelling a Boeing aircraft purchase in response to new US tariffs. This dispute, marked by retaliatory tariffs from both nations, is impacting major industries, as Boeing CEO revealed halted deliveries to Chinese customers.

Rory McIlroy, fresh off his Masters victory, is expanding his influence in the sports world by partnering with TPG to launch TPG Sports, an investment platform focused on reshaping the industry. McIlroy, through Symphony Ventures, will invest in sports companies, teams, and leagues, leveraging TPG's $200 billion in assets and experience in media and entertainment.

China and Kenya agreed on Thursday to boost ties to a new level and oppose trade barriers, following talks between President Xi Jinping and his Kenyan counterpart William Ruto in Beijing. They also said they oppose "unilateral sanctions, decoupling, tariff barriers and technology blockade", while expressing support for the World Trade Organization.

Gold rate prediction: Gold prices have experienced a slight dip despite disappointing US economic data, influenced by hopes of easing US-China trade tensions and President Trump's tariff decisions. Buying gold on Akshaya Tritiya is considered auspicious according to Indian traditions. But what’s the outlook for gold and what factors will drive gold prices in the coming days?

Global markets surged following China's consideration of US tariff negotiation overtures, boosting investor confidence. Positive earnings reports from Microsoft and Meta further fueled Wall Street's gains, with the S&P 500 achieving its longest winning streak since August. Concerns remain about the potential economic impact of tariffs and the possibility of stagflation, creating uncertainty despite market optimism.

US markets opened higher on Monday, buoyed by corporate earnings and economic indicators, despite global trade and macroeconomic concerns. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq saw gains, while gold prices rose as investors sought safety. Domino's Pizza slipped due to disappointing revenue, and uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariffs continued to impact market sentiment.

China has issued a stern warning against countries entering trade agreements with the U.S. at Beijing's expense, threatening countermeasures. This follows reports of potential U.S. tariff exemptions for nations limiting trade with China.

US markets opened in red as the economy unexpectedly shrank by 0.3% in the first quarter, driven by increased imports and slower consumer spending. The decline raised concerns about President Trump's tariff policies, with the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 all experiencing significant drops. European and Asian markets showed mixed reactions amidst global trade uncertainties.

India's economic growth is projected to slow to 6.3 per cent in FY2024-25 due to weak private investment and potential US tariffs, despite matching last year's expansion. Economists highlight structural issues like job creation and stagnant capital expenditure. The RBI is expected to cut rates to support growth amid concerns over business sentiment and inflation.

China refuted President Trump's claim of recent tariff talks with Xi Jinping, escalating trade war tensions. This denial raises concerns about the global economy and Trump's strategy, as direct leader dialogue is absent. China's refusal to engage suggests a readiness to endure economic pain, while Trump's credibility faces scrutiny amid conflicting reports.

The government's increasing role as a major buyer of gold and debt, coupled with its investments in capital goods and support for healthcare and software, has proven highly profitable for investors tracking its activities over the past five years

US stocks plummeted amid trade war anxieties fueled by President Trump's policies and Federal Reserve criticism, triggering investor flight. The Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 experienced significant declines, while the VIX surged, reflecting heightened market volatility. Gold prices rose as investors sought safe-haven assets, while the US dollar weakened against major currencies.