Sritam Dam

Despite escalating rhetoric and nuclear warnings, experts say the hostility level between India and Pakistan remains relatively low, with no direct military clashes

On the night of May 8, 2025, the BSF successfully thwarted a major infiltration attempt by Pakistan along the International Border in Samba district, Jammu and Kashmir. Simultaneously, the Indian Army reported that Pakistan's armed forces initiated multiple drone and munition attacks along the western border and engaged in numerous ceasefire violations along the LoC.

Following the interception of missiles and drones fired by Pakistan, remnants of a missile were discovered in Punjab's Hoshiarpur. Initial reports suggest the recovered missile might be a Chinese PL-15, potentially launched from a Pakistani JF-17. If confirmed, India could gain valuable insights into its technology, enhancing its defense capabilities and strategic advantage against China.

The Press Information Bureau (PIB) mocked Pakistan's government after its Economic Affairs Division seemingly appealed for more international loans due to losses from conflict. While Pakistan claimed the account was hacked, Moody's warned that escalating tensions with India could negatively impact Pakistan's growth and financial stability. Moody's anticipates minimal impact on India, except for increased defense spending.

India and Pakistan can veer off from the brink of an all-out war. But the path to de-escalation is obstructed by a singular figure: the Jihadi General

X (formerly Twitter) has received orders from the Indian government to block over 8,000 accounts, including those of international news organizations and prominent users, citing violations of local laws. X has complied by withholding the accounts in India but disagrees with the government's demands, viewing it as censorship and a violation of free speech.

India-Pakistan tensions impact: Escalating tensions with India pose a significant threat to Pakistan's fragile economic recovery, potentially derailing its IMF bailout program and access to international financing. Pakistan's vulnerability stems from its high external debt, limited foreign exchange reserves, and reliance on international aid.

Following the indefinite suspension of the IPL 2025, India's tour of Bangladesh and participation in the Asia Cup later this year are now highly improbable. The BCCI might utilise the August-September window to conclude the IPL if required, even if it means cancelling the scheduled tour and Asia Cup participation.