Alabama vs Florida State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 30 Aug 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Alabama vs Florida State

Alabama battle Florida State in this NCAAF matchup at Doak Campbell Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 03:30 on Sunday 31 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Will Points Be at a Premium?

The 1.87 about Under 50.5 points makes lots of appeal and represents value in our eyes. We’re not sure that Florida State and Alabama can combine to reach that total.

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Two Teams Defeated in Last Game

Alabama Crimson Tide suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 19-13 scoreline occurred on the road at Solider Field against Michigan Wolverines.

Florida State Seminoles lost their last game, being beaten at home to Florida Gators 31-11 at Doak Campbell Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Ty Simpson

249.5 Passing Yards

Over 1.88

Under 1.88

Tommy Castellanos

166.5 Passing Yards

Over 1.88

Under 1.88

Alabama vs Florida State Prediction & Picks

Gear up for Alabama vs Florida State with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

Let’s go Under the 50.5 points total as we think this number is unlikely to be reached. The two college football teams might lack the combined scoring power and 1.87 can be backed.

We only make our college football picks after confirming the latest team news. Studying recent form and digging into the most relevant stats also helps us build a complete picture.

Key Alabama vs Florida State stats:

• The 50.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Alabama games.
• The 50.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 Florida State games at home.
• The 50.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Florida State games.
• The 50.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Florida State games.

Under 50.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

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Best Bet

Under 50.5 Points @ 1.87 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Tommy Castellanos Under 166.5 Passing Yards 1.88

The odds for Tommy Castellanos (Florida State) to record fewer than 166.5 passing yards are 1.88. If you agree with our verdict that the line is too high, this QB Passing Yards wager is worth backing.

Latest Tommy Castellanos Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 166.5

1.88

Under 166.5

1.88

Rushing Yards

Over 30.5

1.88

Under 30.5

1.88

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Ryan Williams Under 71.5 Receiving Yards 1.88

You can back Ryan Williams (Florida State) at 1.88 to end with fewer than 71.5 receiving yards. He could struggle to reach the Player Receiving Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.

Latest Ryan Williams Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 71.5

1.88

Under 71.5

1.88

Correct Score Prediction

Alabama 28 - 13 Florida State

There are some huge returns lying in wait if you can get the correct score right. With this in mind, we’ll have a play on the Crimson Tide to enjoy a 28-13 winning scoreline.

Alabama vs Florida State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Bama Big Favorites on the Moneyline

Alabama have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming 1.16 favorites for this college game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 86% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Florida State, you will find 5.50 about the underdogs.

The spread is 13.5 and the total points line is currently 49.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 49.5, there are odds of 1.93.

If you’re planning to place a college football wager, visit the best betting apps and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the odds and betting lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Alabama

1.16

FSU

5.50

Point Spread

Alabama -13.5

1.83

FSU +13.5

1.98

Total Points

Under 49.5

1.93

Over 49.5

1.89

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Ryan Williams (Alabama)

Over 71.5

1.88

Under 71.5

1.88

Germie Bernard (Alabama)

Over 55.5

1.88

Under 55.5

1.88

Isaiah Horton (Alabama)

Over 41.5

1.88

Under 41.5

1.88

Duce Robinson (FSU)

Over 37.5

1.88

Under 37.5

1.88

Squirrel White (FSU)

Over 25.5

1.88

Under 25.5

1.88

Rushing Yards

Richard Young (Alabama)

Over 59.5

1.88

Under 59.5

1.88

Roydell Williams (FSU)

Over 34.5

1.88

Under 34.5

1.88

Tommy Castellanos (FSU)

Over 30.5

1.88

Under 30.5

1.88

Ty Simpson (Alabama)

Over 24.5

1.88

Under 24.5

1.88

Passing Yards

Ty Simpson (Alabama)

Over 249.5

1.88

Under 249.5

1.88

Tommy Castellanos (FSU)

Over 166.5

1.88

Under 166.5

1.88

Florida State Have Endured Six Defeats in Previous Ten at Home

Florida State have four wins and six losses in the last 10 home games, putting up 19.20 points per contest and giving up 24.10.

Alabama own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 27.40 points scored and 22.20 points allowed.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O50.5	U50.5
Florida State Home Stats		4-6	43.30	19.20	24.10	2	8
Alabama Away Stats		5-5	49.60	27.40	22.20	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O50.5 = Games Over 50.5 Points
• U50.5 = Games Under 50.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Alabama Crimson Tide Stats

Florida State Seminoles Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 49.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 50.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.20 pts and allowed 20.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.40 pts and allowed 22.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 43.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 50.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 15.10 pts and allowed 28.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 19.20 pts and allowed 24.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	1	0	45	17	28	1-0	0-0	1W
NC State	1	0	24	17	7	1-0	0-0	1W
Virginia Tech	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Virginia	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Syracuse	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Stanford	0	1	20	23	-3	0-0	0-1	1L
SMU	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Miami	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
North Carolina	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Louisville	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Georgia Tech	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Florida State	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Clemson	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
California	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Boston College	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Wake Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

Southeastern	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Missouri	1	0	61	6	55	1-0	0-0	1W
Alabama	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Arkansas	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Auburn	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Florida	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Georgia	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Kentucky	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
LSU	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Mississippi State	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Oklahoma	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Ole Miss	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
South Carolina	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Tennessee	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Texas A&M	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Texas	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Vanderbilt	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-