Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Lineups & Odds | Club World Cup, 05 Jul 2025

We’re Expecting BVB to Cover the Line

The final Club World Cup semi-finalist will be decided when Real Madrid go up against Borussia Dortmund at the MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford.

We’re going for Dortmund on the Asian Handicap +1 at 1.80 and feel confident that the underdogs can win or draw when clashing with Real. However, a one-goal defeat would see our stake refunded.

Tight Wins for Both Teams in Round of 16 Clashes

Group H winners Real Madrid edged Juventus 1–0 at Hard Rock Stadium to advance from the Round of 16. Xabi Alonso's side had most of the ball recording 57% possession and eleven shots on target, with Gonzalo Garcia getting the all-important goal in the 54th minute.

Borussia Dortmund, winners of Group F, booked their place in the quarter-finals with a 2-1 victory over Monterrey at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. BVB had just 35% possession and recorded three shots on goal, with Serhou Guirassy finding the net twice.

FIFA Club World Cup		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	5	3	2	5:3	7
1	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	7	2	5	7:2	7

View Full Table

Real have 8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 1.9 goals from 7.6 shots on goal and 18.6 attempts. Los Merengues have averaged 60.5% possession, 569.5 passes and 8.9 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.1 goals from 4.0 shots on goal, 11.2 attempts and 3.7 corners.

Kylian Mbappe is the top scorer with 11 goals, while Jude Bellingham and Arda Guler each have 2. Vinicius Junior has the most assists with 3, while goalies Thibaut Courtois and Andriy Lunin collectively have 5 clean sheets.

Dortmund have won 7, lost 2 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.6 goals from 15.6 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal. The German Bundesliga outfit average 55.0% possession, 521.5 passes, 6.1 corners in their favour and 3.9 corners against, while conceding 1.3 goals from 12.2 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Serhou Guirassy has scored 7 goals, followed by Karim Adeyemi on 4 and Maximilian Beier with 3. Julian Brandt has clocked up 5 assists, with Gregor Kobel keeping 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Real Madrid predicted lineup (3-5-2): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Antonio Ruediger, Aurelien Tchouameni, Dean Huijsen, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Jude Bellingham, Federico Valverde, Arda Guler, Francisco Garcia, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.

Borussia Dortmund predicted lineup (4-4-2): Gregor Kobel (GK), Niklas Suele, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Julian Ryerson, Felix Nmecha, Pascal Gross, Daniel Svensson, Marcel Sabitzer, Karim Adeyemi, Serhou Guirassy.

Expert Club World Cup Analysis

The team at jeetbetwin.com are right across the latest injuries and suspensions and the form guide also informs our Club World Cup predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Club World Cup & league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by BVB in 12 consecutive games.
• The +1 line has been covered by BVB in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Real in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Real in 6 of their last 10 games.

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

There’s a case for siding with Dortmund +1 at odds of 1.80 for this Club World Cup quarter-final. This Asian Handicap bet looks really attractive based on the latest stats and we’re happy with the line and price for the underdogs.

A bigger price can be landed by going down the Bet Builder route where BVB to cover the line is one of several options. Add various legs until you’re satisfied with the odds.

BVB +1 Probability

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 55.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Our Pick

Dortmund Asian Hcp +1 @ 1.80 Watch Live Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 1 - 1 Dortmund

Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at 7.50. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Props

Felix Nmecha Over 0.5 Shots On Target 3.05

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund) has recorded one or more shots on goal in one of his past five games. We think that some value can be landed by wagering on Shots on Target and you can secure 3.05 that he goes over the line.

Latest Felix Nmecha Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

7.50

First

18.00

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

3.15

Under 0.5

1.20

Shots

Over 0.5

1.58

Under 0.5

-

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Julian Brandt to Score 7.00

Julian Brandt (Dortmund) has netted two goals in his past ten games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the 7.00 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Julian Brandt Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

7.00

First

17.00

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

2.70

Under 0.5

1.28

Shots

Over 0.5

1.38

Under 0.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners 1.80

It has now been five consecutive Dortmund games where the 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered. The Total Corners line looks to be too high given the stats and 1.80 is available to wager.

FIFA Club World Cup & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Real Madrid

Total

12.50 7.70 4.80

Home

13.50 9.40 4.10

Away

9.80 4.50 5.30

Dortmund

Total

8.40 4.30 4.10

Home

9.40 6.30 3.10

Away

9.50 4.70 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

1.91

Under 10.5

1.80

Real Madrid Corners

Over 5.5

1.67

Under 5.5

2.10

Dortmund Corners

Over 3.5

1.62

Under 3.5

2.20

Most Corners

1

1.49

X

7.00

2

2.90

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Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Make Real Most Likely Winners

The Full-Time Result odds of 1.62 suggest that Real Madrid are likely victors and there’s a 62% probability that the favourites win this Club World Cup quarter-final. Borussia Dortmund are the outsiders at 5.00 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

Real can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting 2.10. However, Dortmund are 5.00 and the draw is 2.50 if you want to take a different option.

For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at 1.62.

For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the top betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every Club World Cup game, go for the pick which stands out the most.

Full-Time Result

1

1.62

X

4.20

2

5.00

Half-Time Result

1

2.10

X

2.50

2

5.00

Double Chance

1X

1.17

12

1.22

X2

2.25

Draw No Bet

1

1.25

2

3.75

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

2.05

2 Hcp +1

1.80

Total Goals

Under 2.5

2.35

Over 2.5

1.57

Both Teams to Score

Yes

1.62

No

2.20

Kylian Mbappé Favourite to Score the First Goal

The First Goalscorer favourite is Kylian Mbappé at 4.10. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Player Goals

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

First

4.10

Anytime

1.98

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

4.90

Anytime

2.40

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

First

5.80

Anytime

2.70

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

First

4.90

Anytime

2.80

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

First

7.00

Anytime

3.50

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

8.50

Anytime

4.10

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

First

9.00

Anytime

4.10

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

First

9.00

Anytime

4.40

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

First

15.00

Anytime

6.40

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

First

17.00

Anytime

7.00

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

First

18.00

Anytime

7.50

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

First

21.00

Anytime

9.00

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

First

23.00

Anytime

9.00

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

First

23.00

Anytime

10.00

Player Shots On Target

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

1.47

Under 0.5

2.14

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

1.58

Under 0.5

1.93

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

1.74

Under 0.5

1.74

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

1.80

Under 1.5

1.70

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

1.81

Under 0.5

1.68

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

1.87

Under 0.5

1.62

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

2.35

Under 1.5

1.38

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

2.35

Under 1.5

1.38

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

2.70

Under 0.5

1.28

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

2.95

Under 0.5

1.23

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

3.15

Under 0.5

1.20

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

3.25

Under 0.5

1.19

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

3.85

Under 0.5

1.12

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

3.90

Under 0.5

1.12

Player Shots

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 4.5

2.12

Under 4.5

-

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 3.5

2.23

Under 3.5

-

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

Over 3.5

2.32

Under 3.5

-

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

2.23

Under 2.5

-

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

2.23

Under 2.5

-

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

1.58

Under 1.5

-

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

1.60

Under 1.5

-

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

1.70

Under 1.5

-

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

1.53

Under 0.5

-

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

1.38

Under 0.5

-

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

1.58

Under 0.5

-

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

1.36

Under 0.5

-

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

1.60

Under 0.5

-

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

1.90

Under 0.5

-

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Team Stats

Latest Club World Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Live Stream

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Team News

Double-check the Real vs Dortmund team news before placing your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Club World Cup along with the latest injury news.

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