Independiente del Valle vs Vasco da Gama Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 15 Jul 2025

Copa Sudamericana Betting Preview: Independiente del Valle vs Vasco da Gama

Ecuadorian LigaPro side Independiente del Valle host Brazilian Série A outfit Vasco da Gama in the first leg of this Copa Sudamericana knockout round play-offs match, with kick-off set for 08:30 on Wednesday 16 July 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Back Vasco to Cause IDV Problems

Wager Vasco da Gama +0.75 at 1.80 in their meeting with IDV. Dividing the Asian Handicap stake between +0.5 and +1.0 means we have the safety net if the visitors lose by a goal, with a full payout for a draw or win.

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Vasco Beaten in Previous Clash

Independiente del Valle triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where CSD Macara were beaten 2-1 in the LigaPro.

Vasco da Gama lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Botafogo 2-0 in Série A. Fernando Diniz's team dominated possession with 66% of the ball and recorded five shots on goal.

Independiente del Valle vs Vasco da Gama Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Independiente del Valle vs Vasco da Gama with confidence as we bring you our expert match prediction, projected scoreline, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

Vasco da Gama should be highly competitive in this Copa Sudamericana knockout round play-offs match. On this basis, we’ll take them at 1.80 on the Asian Handicap +0.75 feeling optimistic that the underdogs will land a payout.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Copa Sudamericana experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

Key Independiente del Valle vs Vasco da Gama Copa Sudamericana & league stats:

• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by IDV in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by IDV in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by IDV in 2 consecutive games at home.

Vasco +0.75 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 55.6% likelihood of our pick winning. However, we have this number between 60-65% based on our in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Vasco Asian Hcp +0.75 @ 1.80 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

IDV 1 - 1 Vasco

There are odds of 6.25 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nuno Moreira to Score 7.00

Nuno Moreira (Vasco) has registered two goals in his past ten games. It’s worth a gamble on the 7.00 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Nuno Moreira Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

8.00

First

16.00

Shots

Over 0.5

1.48

Under 0.5

-

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Independiente del Valle vs Vasco da Gama Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think IDV Most Likely to Win

The bookmakers have Independiente del Valle as 1.66 favourites for this Copa Sudamericana encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 60% likely to triumph. If you’re interested in wagering Vasco da Gama, you can get 5.30 for the underdog.

The Half-Time Result market means that your bet will always be settled at the interval. IDV are 2.28, while Vasco are alternatively priced at 5.30 and the draw is 2.23.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. BTTS is always an intriguing wager to have and the Yes/No selections are regarded as being evenly-matched.

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Full-Time Result

1

1.66

X

3.50

2

5.30

Half-Time Result

1

2.28

X

2.23

2

5.30

Double Chance

1X

1.14

12

1.27

X2

2.07

Draw No Bet

1

1.24

2

3.65

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

1.90

2 Hcp +0.75

1.90

Total Goals

Under 2.5

1.76

Over 2.5

1.98

Both Teams to Score

Yes

1.89

No

1.82

Michael Hoyos Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

Michael Hoyos is favourite to be First Goalscorer at 4.80, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Michael Hoyos (IDV)

First

4.80

Anytime

2.65

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

First

6.75

Anytime

3.45

Junior Sornoza (IDV)

First

8.50

Anytime

4.50

Renato Ibarra (IDV)

First

9.00

Anytime

4.70

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

First

9.50

Anytime

4.80

Patrik Mercado (IDV)

First

9.50

Anytime

5.00

Jean Pierre Arroyo (IDV)

First

10.00

Anytime

5.10

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

First

11.50

Anytime

5.60

Cristian Zabala (IDV)

First

13.00

Anytime

6.50

Jordy Alcívar (IDV)

First

16.00

Anytime

8.00

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

First

16.00

Anytime

8.00

Matías Fernández (IDV)

First

17.00

Anytime

8.50

Danilo "Tchê Tchê" Neves (Vasco)

First

21.00

Anytime

10.00

Paulo Lucas Santos de Paula (Vasco)

First

23.00

Anytime

11.50

Mateo Carabajal (IDV)

First

23.00

Anytime

11.50

Michael Hoyos (IDV)

Over 3.5

2.07

Under 3.5

-

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

Over 2.5

1.98

Under 2.5

-

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

Over 2.5

2.35

Under 2.5

-

Junior Sornoza (IDV)

Over 1.5

1.84

Under 1.5

-

Renato Ibarra (IDV)

Over 1.5

2.05

Under 1.5

-

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

Over 1.5

1.74

Under 1.5

-

Patrik Mercado (IDV)

Over 1.5

1.85

Under 1.5

-

Jean Pierre Arroyo (IDV)

Over 1.5

1.68

Under 1.5

-

Jordy Alcívar (IDV)

Over 1.5

2.02

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Zabala (IDV)

Over 0.5

1.50

Under 0.5

-

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

Over 0.5

1.48

Under 0.5

-

Matías Fernández (IDV)

Over 0.5

1.92

Under 0.5

-

Danilo "Tchê Tchê" Neves (Vasco)

Over 0.5

1.90

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Carabajal (IDV)

Over 0.5

2.35

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa Sudamericana and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Independiente del Valle Stats

Vasco da Gama Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 away matches

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Independiente del Valle vs Vasco da Gama Lineups & Team News

The IDV vs Vasco team news could change everything — review it before betting. Stay informed with confirmed Copa Sudamericana lineups and the most recent injury news.