Chelsea vs Benfica Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Sep 2025

Champions League Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Benfica

Two-time Chelsea manager José Mourinho returns to Stamford Bridge as his Benfica side take on the Blues, with kick-off set for 03:00 on Wednesday 1 October. Our Champions League betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

The Value Lies With Blues

Chelsea should be able to beat Benfica by two goals or more. We’ll back them -1 at 1.95, meaning money back if the West London club claim a one goal victory, although we think the margin should be bigger.

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Defeat for Chelsea Last Time Out

Club World Cup champions Chelsea lost their last game, suffering a 3-1 Premier League home defeat to Brighton at Stamford Bridge. Enzo Maresca’s team had 58% possession and three shots on target, with Enzo Fernández providing the lone Chelsea goal as Trevoh Chalobah saw red in the 53rd minute.

José Mourinho's Benfica claimed a 2-1 Primeira Liga home win over Gil Vicente at Estadio da Luz in their previous game. The Eagles enjoyed 47% possession and four shots on goal, with Vangelis Pavlidis finding the net twice.

In the last round of the Champions League, Chelsea visited Bayern Munich and lost 3-1, while Benfica hosted Azerbaijan Premier League side Qarabag and lost 3-2.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
24	Benfica	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	2:3	0
28	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	1:3	0

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Chelsea have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. The Blues have averaged 55.6% possession, 482.2 passes and 6.0 corners per match, conceding 1.1 goals and 4.7 corners from 3.2 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts.

Top scorer Enzo Fernandez has found the net 4 times, with Trevoh Chalobah, Cole Palmer, Moises Caicedo and Joao Pedro getting 2 goals each. Joao Pedro is the top assists maker on 3, with goalie Robert Sanchez managing 4 clean sheets.

Benfica have 6 victories and 4 draws, with an average of 1.7 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 60.9% possession, 502.3 passes, 5.1 corners taken and 3.9 corners against, while the Lisbon side have conceded 0.7 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts.

Vangelis Pavlidis has top scored with 6, while Georgiy Sudakov, Franjo Ivanovic and Fredrik Aursnes are next on 2. Vangelis Pavlidis is top assists provider with 3, while Anatoliy Trubin and Samuel Soares have collectively recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Chelsea predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Malo Gusto, Trevoh Chalobah, Benoit Badiashile, Marc Cucurella, Romeo Lavia, Moises Caicedo, Pedro Neto, Enzo Fernandez, Alejandro Garnacho, Joao Pedro.

Benfica predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Anatoliy Trubin (GK), Amar Dedic, Antonio Silva, Nicolas Otamendi, Samuel Dahl, Richard Rios, Fredrik Aursnes, Dodi Lukebakio, Georgiy Sudakov, Andreas Schjelderup, Vangelis Pavlidis.

Chelsea vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Chelsea vs Benfica tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop picks to corners guidance, a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re sweet on Chelsea for this Champions League game. The favourites are available at -1 on the Asian Handicap and we’re happy to take odds of 1.95 that are currently on offer for this pick.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming Champions League action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key Chelsea vs Benfica Champions League & league stats:

• The -1 line has been covered by Chelsea in 2 of their last 5 games at home.
• Chelsea beat PSG 3-0 in the Club World Cup final

Chelsea -1 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 51.3% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Looking for a larger price when placing your wager? The good news is that you can visit the betting sites and adjust the line until you’re satisfied with the odds.

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Our Match Prediction

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Correct Score Prediction

Chelsea 3 - 0 Benfica

An exciting bet could be a 3-0 victory in favor of Chelsea at odds of 10.50. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Corners Prediction

Chelsea Under 5.5 Corners

Chelsea have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in three consecutive matches, with Benfica conceding under 5.5 corners in their past three away games. We think Chelsea might fall short of the mark, with odds of 2.05 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Chelsea

Total

10.60 5.90 4.70

Home

11.40 7.70 3.70

Away

9.30 4.70 4.60

Benfica

Total

9.50 5.50 4.00

Home

11.10 7.30 3.80

Away

8.30 4.50 3.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Chelsea Corners

Benfica Corners

Most Corners

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Chelsea vs Benfica Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Chelsea Have the Shortest Odds to Win

With the bookmakers affording them a 61% chance of winning, Chelsea might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are 1.64 when it comes to this Champions League encounter. If you want to back the outsider, Benfica are available at 5.25.

There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Chelsea at 2.17 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Benfica at 4.90. The draw is the third option at 2.43.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at 1.70.

The top football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Champions League games, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.

João Pedro is the First Goalscorer Favourite

There’s the chance to back João Pedro at 5.00 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Chelsea Stats

Benfica Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.70 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 55.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 60.90% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches

Chelsea vs Benfica Lineups & Team News

The Chelsea vs Benfica team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups plus current injury reports.