Casa Pia vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Aug 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Casa Pia vs Nacional

Casa Pia host Nacional in this Portuguese Primeira Liga game at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 22:30 on Saturday 30 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Casa Pia Might Have the Edge

We’re happy to side with Casa Pia 0.0 on the Asian Handicap when they take on Nacional. At odds of 1.64, we get a return if the hosts win and there’s the insurance of money back if the game is drawn.

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Nacional Overcame Casa Pia in Last Meeting

Casa Pia were beaten last game and this was on their travels at Estadio do Dragao. Porto claimed a 4-0 win. The Lisbon outfit ended up with just 36% possession and one shot on target.

Nacional lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Sporting CP by a 4-1 scoreline at Estadio da Madeira. The White and Black enjoyed just 26% possession and had one shot on goal, with Leonardo Santos on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Nacional claimed victory in the previous meeting between these teams. A 3-1 home win was registered against Casa Pia at Estadio da Madeira.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Casa Pia	3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	2:6	3
16	Nacional	3	0	1	2	2	7	-5	2:7	1

View Full Table

2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 2.3 shots on goal and 6.2 attempts. Casa Pia have had 43.8% possession, 327.3 passes and 2.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 15.2 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 6.5 corners.

Duplexe Tchamba and five of his team-mates all top the scoring with 1 goals apiece. Jeremy Livolant is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalkeeper Patrick Sequeira keeping 3 clean sheets.

Nacional have 1 victory, 6 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 12.7 attempts, 4.0 shots on goal and 0.8 goals. The Madeira side average 46.8% possession, 309.5 passes, 6.9 corners in their favour and 4.9 corners against, while 2.0 goals have been conceded from 5.0 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts.

Leonardo Santos has scored 2 goals, followed by Jesus Ramirez, Andre Sousa, Fuki Yamada and Ze Vitor on 1. Liziero, Jose Gomes and Joao Aurelio have all made 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Lucas Franca has one clean sheet.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Casa Pia predicted lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Joao Goulart, Jose Fonte, Duplexe Tchamba, Gaizka Larrazabal, Iyad Mohamed, Renato Nhaga, Fahem Benaissa-Yahia, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Korede Osundina.

Nacional predicted lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Franca (GK), Joao Aurelio, Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Jose Gomes, Liziero, Matheus Dias, Chiheb Labidi, Paulinho Boia, Jesus Ramirez, Witi.

Casa Pia vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Casa Pia vs Nacional betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, corners betting edge, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

We think Casa Pia are a good bet at 0.0 on the Asian Handicap for this Primeira Liga game. This selection makes appeal at odds of 1.64, with a win expected for the home team.

We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Primeira Liga form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.

Key Casa Pia vs Nacional league stats:

• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in any of their last 5 games.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 9 of their last 10 games.

Casa Pia 0.0 Probability

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 61% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

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Our Match Prediction

Casa Pia Asian Hcp 0.0 @ 1.64 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Casa Pia 1 - 0 Nacional

We’re betting on Casa Pia to secure a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of 6.00 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Duplexe Tchamba To Score 10.50

Duplexe Tchamba (Casa Pia) is available at 10.50 to be among the goals. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Duplexe Tchamba Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

10.50

First

21.00

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Corners Prediction

Casa Pia Under 5.5 Corners 1.67

Casa Pia have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in ten consecutive matches, while Nacional have conceded 4.00 corners on average in their previous 5 away games. We advise betting on the 1.67 that Casa Pia won’t cover the line, with this Team Corners pick hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Casa Pia

Total

9.30 2.80 6.50

Home

9.10 3.70 5.40

Away

9.00 3.00 6.00

Nacional

Total

11.80 6.90 4.90

Home

10.50 5.60 4.90

Away

11.10 5.00 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

1.79

Under 9.5

1.87

Casa Pia Corners

Over 5.5

2.10

Under 5.5

1.67

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

1.83

Under 4.5

1.83

Most Corners

1

1.86

X

7.00

2

2.23

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Casa Pia vs Nacional Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Casa Pia Victory

The Casa Pia betting odds are 2.28 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Primeira Liga encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 44% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Nacional, you will find 3.00 about this outsider.

There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Nacional are 3.60 here and the draw is 2.08, with Casa Pia on offer at 3.05.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at 1.79 for anyone predicting one side or more to fail to find the net.

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Full-Time Result

1

2.28

X

3.25

2

3.00

Half-Time Result

1

3.05

X

2.08

2

3.60

Double Chance

1X

1.33

12

1.29

X2

1.54

Draw No Bet

1

1.63

2

2.10

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

1.94

2 Hcp +0.25

1.77

Total Goals

Under 2.5

1.65

Over 2.5

2.16

Both Teams to Score

Yes

1.89

No

1.79

Jesus Ramírez Díaz Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

Jesus Ramírez Díaz is available at 3.90 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of 7.00 to find the net first.

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

7.00

Anytime

3.90

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

7.50

Anytime

4.10

Raúl Blanco (Casa Pia)

First

16.00

Anytime

4.10

Yassin Oukili (Casa Pia)

First

9.50

Anytime

5.00

Tiago Morais (Casa Pia)

First

11.00

Anytime

5.60

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

13.00

Anytime

6.75

Miguel Sousa (Casa Pia)

First

15.00

Anytime

7.50

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

16.00

Anytime

8.50

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

16.00

Anytime

8.50

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

17.00

Anytime

9.00

Duplexe Tchamba (Casa Pia)

First

21.00

Anytime

10.50

Gaizka Larrazabal (Casa Pia)

First

21.00

Anytime

11.00

Sebastián Perez (Casa Pia)

First

23.00

Anytime

11.50

João Goulart (Casa Pia)

First

23.00

Anytime

11.50

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

23.00

Anytime

12.00

Last Ten Casa Pia Home Matches Have Led to Five Wins

Casa Pia have secured five victories, four defeats and one draw in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Nacional haven’t won any of their past three away games. Tiago Margarido's team have clocked up six losses, two wins and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.60 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Casa Pia were 1-0 victors against Nacional last time out at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Casa Pia Home Stats		5-1-4	2.50	1.20	1.30	5	5	6	4
Nacional Away Stats		2-2-6	2.00	0.60	1.40	3	7	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Casa Pia vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Casa Pia vs Nacional team news before betting. Get the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Casa Pia Team Page Nacional Team Page