Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Aug 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Alavés vs Atlético Madrid

Alavés host Atlético Madrid in this Spanish La Liga fixture at Estadio Mendizorroza, with kick-off set for 23:00 on Saturday 30 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Will Alavés Stay in Reach of the Favourites?

Back Alavés +0.75 at 1.80 when they clash against Atlético Madrid. Splitting Asian Handicap stakes between +0.5 and +1.0 means we get insurance if the hosts lose by a goal, although a full return for a draw or win.

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Goalless Draw When Teams Last Clashed

Deportivo Alavés were defeated in their last game. Away from home, they suffered a 1-0 loss against Real Betis at Estadio de La Cartuja. Los Babazorros enjoyed 51% possession and five shots on target.

Atlético Madrid hosted Elche at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw. Diego Simeone's side had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 58% possession and six shots on goal, while Alexander Soerloth found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The most recent clash between the teams saw Atléti draw 0-0 away to Alavés at Estadio Mendizorroza. The past 10 H2H games have seen six Atléti triumphs, two Alavés wins and two draws.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Alavés	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	2:2	3
14	Atlético Madrid	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	2:3	1

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 10.3 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal. Alavés have had 47.7% possession, 381.5 passes and 5.7 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.6 goals from 9.9 attempts and 2.7 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.3 corners.

Top goalscorers are Nahuel Tenaglia and Kike Garcia on 2 goals, while Antonio Martinez has bagged 1. Carlos Vicente is the leading assists maker on 2, with goalkeeper Antonio Sivera keeping 4 clean sheets.

Atléti have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.1 goals from 13.3 attempts and 6.2 shots on goal. Diego Simeone's team average 56.7% possession, 542.8 passes, 5.6 corners awarded and 2.5 corners against them, while conceding 0.9 goals from 7.5 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.

Alexander Soerloth has landed 10 goals, Julian Alvarez 6, with Clement Lenglet and two others scoring 1. Rodrigo De Paul, Julian Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann have clocked up 2 assists, with Jan Oblak keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Alavés predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Antonio Sivera (GK), Jonny, Facundo Garces, Nahuel Tenaglia, Victor Parada, Antonio Blanco, Carlos Vicente, Jon Guridi, Pablo Ibáñez, Carles Aleña, Toni Martínez.

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, David Hancko, Giuliano Simeone, Johnny, Pablo Barrios, Thiago Almada, Alexander Sørloth, Julián Álvarez.

Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Alavés vs Atlético Madrid bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score tip, corners outlook, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

Our experts think that siding with Alavés +0.75 at 1.80 on the Asian Handicap is the way forward for this La Liga encounter. The home team should be able to avoid defeat in this contest and have the potential to win.

Our team of experts monitor the current La Liga injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Alavés vs Atlético Madrid league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Alavés in 5 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Alavés in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Alavés in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 2 consecutive games.

Alavés +0.75 Probability

The best football betting sites make it a 55.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There are ways of betting on Alavés to win by a certain number of goals thanks to the Winning Margin market, with this being a nice alternative to Asian Handicap.

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Our Match Prediction

Alavés Asian Hcp +0.75 @ 1.80 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Alavés 1 - 1 Atléti

Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at 6.50. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Jon Guridi Over 0.5 Shots On Target 3.70

Jon Guridi (Alavés) has an average of 0.6 shots on goal in his past five La Liga matches. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Shots on Target line which is on offer at odds of 3.70.

Latest Jon Guridi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

9.50

First

21.00

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

3.65

Under 0.5

1.19

Shots

Over 0.5

1.58

Under 0.5

-

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Thiago Almada To Score 4.70

Thiago Almada (Atléti) can be backed at 4.70 to find the net. Using all information, we’ll head to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds.

Latest Thiago Almada Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

4.60

First

9.00

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

2.02

Under 0.5

1.62

Shots

Over 1.5

1.77

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners 1.80

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in five consecutive Atlético Madrid away matches. It looks a logical viewpoint that the line won’t be reached and you can land a price of 1.80 for this Total Corners wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Alavés

Total

11.00 5.70 5.30

Home

10.60 6.20 4.40

Away

8.90 4.30 4.60

Atléti

Total

8.10 5.60 2.50

Home

9.80 6.00 3.80

Away

8.00 4.00 4.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

1.91

Under 9.5

1.80

Alavés Corners

Over 4.5

2.00

Under 4.5

1.73

Atléti Corners

Over 4.5

1.73

Under 4.5

2.00

Most Corners

1

2.33

X

7.00

2

1.86

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Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Atléti Have the Shortest Odds to Win

The favourites are 56% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Atlético Madrid being priced at 1.80 to come away with a victory in this La Liga encounter. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure 4.75 for Deportivo Alavés.

You can back Atléti at 2.40 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. Alavés are 5.00 and the draw is chalked up at 2.10.

For those expecting a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader on the Total Goals market. A different wager could be betting BTTS No where you can land 1.75 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.

If you visit one of the recommended betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever La Liga game appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

4.75

X

3.50

2

1.80

Half-Time Result

1

5.00

X

2.10

2

2.40

Double Chance

1X

1.95

12

1.29

X2

1.18

Draw No Bet

1

3.40

2

1.30

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

2.05

2 Hcp -0.5

1.80

Total Goals

Under 2.5

1.67

Over 2.5

2.20

Both Teams to Score

Yes

2.00

No

1.75

Julián Álvarez is the First Goalscorer Favourite

There’s the chance to back Julián Álvarez at 4.10 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

4.10

Anytime

2.40

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

4.70

Anytime

2.75

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

6.50

Anytime

3.70

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

8.00

Anytime

4.50

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

9.00

Anytime

4.60

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

First

10.00

Anytime

4.70

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

First

11.00

Anytime

5.50

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

First

12.50

Anytime

5.60

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

12.50

Anytime

6.50

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

First

13.00

Anytime

6.50

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

First

16.00

Anytime

7.50

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

16.00

Anytime

8.00

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

First

19.00

Anytime

9.50

Jon Guridi (Alavés)

First

21.00

Anytime

9.50

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

First

18.00

Anytime

10.00

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

First

20.00

Anytime

11.00

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

First

21.00

Anytime

11.00

Hugo Novoa (Alavés)

First

23.00

Anytime

11.50

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

First

23.00

Anytime

12.00

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

First

23.00

Anytime

12.00

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

First

23.00

Anytime

12.50

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

1.72

Under 0.5

1.89

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

1.95

Under 0.5

1.67

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

2.02

Under 0.5

1.62

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

Over 0.5

2.18

Under 0.5

1.49

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

2.30

Under 0.5

1.44

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 0.5

2.35

Under 0.5

1.47

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

2.43

Under 1.5

1.43

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 1.5

2.55

Under 1.5

1.38

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

2.75

Under 0.5

1.33

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

Over 0.5

3.00

Under 0.5

1.28

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

Over 0.5

3.00

Under 0.5

1.28

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

3.40

Under 0.5

1.22

Jon Guridi (Alavés)

Over 0.5

3.65

Under 0.5

1.19

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

Over 0.5

3.70

Under 0.5

1.18

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

Over 0.5

3.70

Under 0.5

1.19

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

Over 0.5

3.80

Under 0.5

1.17

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

Over 0.5

4.40

Under 0.5

1.13

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

4.40

Under 0.5

1.13

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

Over 0.5

4.50

Under 0.5

1.12

Hugo Novoa (Alavés)

Over 0.5

4.70

Under 0.5

1.11

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

Over 0.5

4.70

Under 0.5

1.11

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 3.5

2.30

Under 3.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 2.5

1.61

Under 2.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 2.5

2.35

Under 2.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 1.5

1.70

Under 1.5

-

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 1.5

1.77

Under 1.5

-

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

Over 1.5

1.89

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 1.5

2.05

Under 1.5

-

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

Over 1.5

1.63

Under 1.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 1.5

2.35

Under 1.5

-

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

Over 0.5

1.68

Under 0.5

-

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

Over 0.5

2.25

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

1.90

Under 0.5

-

Hugo Novoa (Alavés)

Over 0.5

2.02

Under 0.5

-

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

Over 0.5

2.28

Under 0.5

-

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

Over 0.5

1.41

Under 0.5

-

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

Over 0.5

1.63

Under 0.5

-

Jon Guridi (Alavés)

Over 0.5

1.58

Under 0.5

-

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

Over 0.5

1.68

Under 0.5

-

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

1.70

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

Over 0.5

1.40

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

Over 0.5

2.07

Under 0.5

-

Alavés Aiming to Extend Unbeaten Home Streak

Alavés haven’t lost any of their past five games at Estadio Mendizorroza. The Vitoria-Gasteiz club have collected four victories, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 0.60 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Atléti have four defeats, three victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Alavés drew 0-0 with Atléti when they last met at Estadio Mendizorroza. The previous 6 H2H meetings at Estadio Mendizorroza have led to two wins each and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Alavés Home Stats		4-2-4	1.30	0.60	0.70	1	9	2	8
Atlético Madrid Away Stats		3-3-4	2.30	1.30	1.00	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Alavés vs Atléti team news beforehand. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga together with updated injury news.

Alavés Team Page Atlético Madrid Team Page